Norwich South Could Follow Brighton's Lead
20 January 2010
A new poll for the Green Party shows its General Election candidate on course to win in Brighton Pavilion, one of the party's top target seats along with Norwich South.
The result gives new confidence to the Greens’ local candidate, Adrian Ramsay, that local election vote share translates to General Election votes and that he can win the Norwich South seat from Charles Clarke.
According to the ICM Research opinion poll, Green candidate Caroline Lucas, the party leader, has a significant lead in the Brighton Pavilion constituency. The results show that she has the support of 35% of voters followed by the Conservatives on 27% and Labour on 25%. What’s more, 63% of Labour and Lib Dem voters in the sample said that they would vote Green if that party was best placed to stop a Conservative win. If voters carry through their intentions at the general election, the Greens would win the seat from Labour with a majority of almost 3,500 over the Conservatives.
There are interesting similarities between Brighton Pavilion and Norwich South. In both cities, the Green Party has thirteen city councillors. In the European elections last year the Green Party came top in the voting across the area corresponding to the respective parliamentary constituencies.
Adrian Ramsay, who is deputy leader of the Green Party, already knows that if people in Norwich South vote the same way in the General Election as they have in local elections over the past three years, he will win the seat, a victory which, on current trends, would mean the first two Green Party MPs going to Westminster.
References:
- www.greenparty.org.uk/news/icm-poll-puts-greens-ahead-in-target-westminster-seat.html
- news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/vote2007/councils/html/ml.stm
- www.brighton-hove.gov.uk/downloads/bhcc/Results_for_website.pdf
- www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/poll-surge-suggests-greens-on-course-for-first-commons-seat-1863895.html








